illusionofjoy: (Default)

Electoral College votes are based on a winner take all tally based on the popular vote on a per state basis. In Pennsylvania, Barack Obama won by eleven points over John McCain, which gave him all 21 of the state's electoral votes. This is how electoral votes are tallied in 48 of the 50 states - the two notable exceptions being Maine and Nebraska. These two states split their electoral votes in a unique manner: part of the votes are reserved for the typical winner take all tally (three in each state) while the remaining electoral votes are assigned based on the popular vote for congressional districts in each state (two in Nebraska, one in Maine). Barack Obama has won the popular vote in Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District. From the Associated Press:

OMAHA, Neb. – President-elect Barack Obama won one of Nebraska's electoral votes, the first time in history that the state has split its votes and the first time in 44 years that it had given a vote to a Democrat.

After remaining ballots were counted Friday, Obama had a 3,325-vote lead over Republican John McCain in unofficial results for the 2nd Congressional District. Nebraska and Maine are the two states that divide their electoral votes by congressional districts.

Obama, who won the White House last week, has 365 electoral votes to McCain's 162. Missouri, with 11 electoral votes, is still too close to call. Election officials in that state have until Tuesday to finish counting.

The last Democrat to win Nebraska was Lyndon B. Johnson, who carried the state in 1964.

Prior to the election, when I was playing around with the interactive Electoral College map at 270toWin.com, I kept coming up with scenarios where the election was tied with 269 electors assigned to each candidate. It occurred to me that if Omaha were to come out strong for Obama, splitting Nebraska's electoral vote, that would break the tie in favour of Obama. Obviously, the electoral college results were not nearly as close when all was said and done, Obama securing himself a comfortable victory. However, it is still an interesting bit of historical trivia to note that not only will Obama be the first Black President, he will also be the first President who was elected who managed to split Nebraska's Electoral vote.

Obama wins

Nov. 5th, 2008 07:45 am
illusionofjoy: (Default)

It looks like Barack Obama will be the next President.

illusionofjoy: (No Obama)

Based on exit polls, the media is calling the election for Obama. I'm tired, cranky and generally dishevelled, so I've decided to go to bed. Hopefully tomorrow morning I can wake up from this nightmare (although I doubt it).

illusionofjoy: (No Obama)

I cast my ballot early this morning. It looked like this:

President of the United States
John McCain/Sarah Palin, Republican

US Legislature
US Representative; District 18

Steve O'Donnell, Democratic

State Executive
Attorney General; State of Pennsylvania

John M. Morganelli, Democratic

Auditor General; State of Pennsylvania
Jack Wagner, Democratic

State Treasurer; State of Pennsylvania
Robert McCord, Democratic

State Senate
State Senator; District 37

Amy Jude Schmotzer, Democratic

State House
State Representative; District 42

Matt Smith, Democratic

State Referendums
Referendum Act-64 Water and Sewer Improvements Bond Referendum

YES

So now all that is left to do is wait and see which assclown will occupy the White House starting in 2009.

illusionofjoy: (No Obama)

Today is the day - as the worst campaign season I can remember comes to a close, there is only one thing left to do: find your polling station and...

VOTE!

McCain/Palin

Note: I only endorse the Republican candidates for the top of the ticket. I strongly encourage a split ticket this election, with a vote cast for McCain/Palin at the top and all Democratic votes for the rest of the candidates downticket. Furthermore, if you live in California, vote NO on Proposition 8 (gay marriage ban); if you live in Pennsylvania, vote YES on Act 64 (clean water referendum).

What now?

Nov. 3rd, 2008 10:15 pm
illusionofjoy: (No Obama)

By this time tomorrow, either John McCain or Barack Obama will be chosen as the next President of the United States. These are not exactly inspiring outcomes, but I think I'd be less annoyed with a McCain win than an Obama win. Obama is a betrayal and an empty box into which people put what they wish to be in it. With McCain, much as I may not like what I may be getting, at least there is no doubt as to what I would be getting.

Will people riot if Obama loses? I hope not. Will people gloat if Obama wins? Probably, but again I hope not. Will I be able to hold back saying "I told you so" if Obama wins and then crashes and burns? Perhaps not - it depends on how much gloating is done by his fanbase if he does win. Conversely, when McCain crashes and burns, I will have no need to hear "I told you so" - I'll already have known.

illusionofjoy: (No Obama)

Senator John McCain is holding a Victory Rally in Moon tomorrow morning. I'm seriously thinking of going, out of curiosity more than anything. As [livejournal.com profile] joi_division pointed out to me, "there's no free entertainment like watching a politician." And, let's face it, Obama rallies are above my paygrade.

Also, I may actually run into a fair share of other Democrats there, if Pittsburgh is anything like Scranton.

So, since I'm on vacation and in need of free entertainment, I'll more likely than not be attending. This, of course, officially makes me a "bad Democrat," but given how bad the Democratic Party has acted this election season, I can't say I'm too bothered by that. Besides, "falling in line" is for Republicans.

illusionofjoy: (No Obama)
illusionofjoy: (No Obama)

None of the networks this was being broadcast on streamed it over the web. Thus, I began watching after the Obama campaign posted it on their official YouTube channel. I got eight minutes into it before YouTube's servers crapped out. Maybe you'll have better luck:

I like what Obama says, but the words are like particles of dust in a windstorm.

illusionofjoy: (No Obama)

I am like a moth to a flame. I already know more about Barack Obama than I ever wanted to know, yet in half an hour, I'm going to watch his infomercial. Apparently, The New York Times got a sneak peek:

Mr. Obama’s campaign agreed to provide The New York Times with a minute-long trailer for the 30-minute program, which is to run on four broadcast networks at 8 p.m. It will be the first time in 16 years that a presidential candidate has bought network time, in prime time, for a prolonged campaign commercial.

The trailer is heavy in strings, flags, presidential imagery and some Americana filmed by Davis Guggenheim, whose father was the campaign documentarian of Robert F. Kennedy. As the screen flashes scenes of suburban lawns, a freight train and Mr. Obama seated at a kitchen table with a group of white, apparently working-class voters, Mr. Obama says: “We’ve seen over the last eight years how decisions by a president can have a profound effect on the course of history and on American lives; much that’s wrong with our country goes back even farther than that.”

Then, while standing before a stately desk and an American flag, Mr. Obama, in a suit, says: “We’ve been talking about the same problems for decades and nothing is ever done to solve them. For the past 20 months, I’ve traveled the length of this country, and Michelle and I have met so many Americans who are looking for real and lasting change that makes a difference in their lives.”

Jim Margolis, Mr. Obama’s senior advertising strategist, said the program would then go on to feature “the stories of four different Americans, or American families, and kind of what they’re confronting.”

Oh, boy...and I just ate not long ago too...

illusionofjoy: (No Obama)

The election is next week...gods help us all...

If you find yourself clueless about the candidates, now would be an excellent time for a cramming session. Of course, if you aren't aware of any races aside from the Presidential one, I'd suggest you study up on your downticket candidates. Picking candidates and positions on referendums at random is just as bad as not voting.

illusionofjoy: (No Obama)

From KDKA:

PITTSBURGH (KDKA) ― Pittsburgh police are investigating after a volunteer for the Republican campaign says she was attacked by a mugger who became enraged after seeing a John McCain bumper sticker on her car last night.

According to police, Ashley Todd, 20, said she was robbed at an ATM at the corner of Liberty Avenue and Pearl Street in the Bloomfield area around 9 p.m. Wednesday after leaving a Republican phone bank.

Todd told police that the suspect, described only as a dark-skinned African-American man about 6'4", stole $60 from her and became enraged after seeing a bumper sticker supporting Republican Presidential Candidate John McCain on her car.

Todd, who is from Texas, said the suspect put a knife to her neck and demanded money.

Todd told police that the man became very angry after noticing the McCain sticker on her car and began punching and kicking her.

After repeatedly hitting, kicking and threatening her, Todd told police that the man carved a "B" in her cheek.

As far as I'm concerned, this is a hate crime. The fact that this poor woman was "branded" is beyond appalling. All rational people can agree with the Obama and McCain campaigns in their mutual condemnation of this reprehensible act.

Update 10/24/2008: The Post-Gazette reports that Todd has confessed to completely fabricating the story. Being the victim of a violent crime is a horrible thing, but lying about it for untenable reasons is far worse, in my opinion.

illusionofjoy: (No Obama)

Sometimes I think the media pushes a narrative in an attempt to cause trouble because having nothing to report is bad for their bottom line. Is that paranoid and cynical of me? You're damn right it is! From The Hill:

Police departments in cities across the country are beefing up their ranks for Election Day, preparing for possible civil unrest and riots after the historic presidential contest.

Public safety officials said in interviews with The Hill that the election, which will end with either the nation’s first black president or its first female vice president, demanded a stronger police presence.

Some worry that if Barack Obama loses and there is suspicion of foul play in the election, violence could ensue in cities with large black populations. Others based the need for enhanced patrols on past riots in urban areas (following professional sports events) and also on Internet rumors.

Democratic strategists and advocates for black voters say they understand officers wanting to keep the peace, but caution that excessive police presence could intimidate voters.

Sen. Obama (Ill.), the Democratic nominee for president, has seen his lead over rival Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) grow in recent weeks, prompting speculation that there could be a violent backlash if he loses unexpectedly.

Cities that have suffered unrest before, such as Detroit, Chicago, Oakland and Philadelphia, will have extra police deployed.

Two more weeks until this shit is over with!

illusionofjoy: (Default)

I just got back from the debate watch party for the third and final presidential debate. Once again, there was no real winner, but I can't state who the losers were in this: the American people. How did these two clowns become our candidates?

Still, John McCain gets a gold star for finally telling Obama, "I am not George Bush - if you had wanted to run against George Bush, you should have run four years ago." Of all of the memes foisted upon us by the two campaigns this election, the Democratic chorus that McCain would be Bush's third term is one of the more irritating, simply because it isn't true.

Overall, I really feel sorry for Joe the plumber.

illusionofjoy: (Default)

Having come down with the plague, I did not go out to the Obama supporters' debate watch party tonight as I did for the prior two debates. True, while I am not an Obama supporter, I prefer the company of other Democrats and I do admit that I want to be able to change my mind. Unfortunately, Obama's performance tonight will not cause that to happen.

The format of tonight's debate was the town hall meeting, a format preferred by John McCain. As such, McCain was right in his element and it showed. Meanwhile, Obama seemed uncomfortable, not even cracking a joke right up until the very end. Furthermore, neither Obama nor McCain were doing much to differentiate their policy positions, which is pretty much guaranteed to keep the race in a statistical dead heat. For being in his element and carrying himself well, John McCain ekes out a small victory in round two. I doubt that this will sway decided voters either way. Meanwhile, undecided voters are likely more confused than ever, thinking, "the differences in their positions are all in nuance...and both are likeable...who to vote for?"

Honestly, the more I watch these two candidates in action, the more I believe that downticket races are where the most important policy-shaping will take place. Regardless of whether I decide to "come home" and vote for Obama or if I maintain my current position of voting in protest for McCain, all of my votes for every position down the ticket, from senators to congressmen to city council members to the dogcatcher will be for Democrats.

illusionofjoy: (Default)

One state, two state, red state blue state...here are the candidates attempting to sway and confuse (perhaps even annoy) a gullible electorate once more:

McCain/Palin

Obama/Biden

This time around, the Obama camp's ad is actually better because it takes one of Biden's best zingers from last night's debate and places it as the centerpiece of the spot. Meanwhile, McCain's ad seems more like a series of cheap shots (moreso than most political ads, I mean) hastily strewn together.

You know, I kind of wish somebody paid me to analyse this shit...

illusionofjoy: (Default)

Well, I've made up my mind: Joe Biden for President. While Palin far exceeded expectations set low by a disastrous interview with Katie Couric, Biden effectively took the floor and the edge to make the winning point of the debate his. Also, moderator Gwen Ifill seemed to behave herself, despite being in the tank for Obama.

Overall, I was left with the distinct impression that the Democratic ticket would be better off with Biden as the Presidential candidate. So, I'll say it again: Joe Biden for President.

illusionofjoy: (Default)

9:00PM - Mooseburgers vs. Hair Plugs. It's on!

A pity it's a weeknight and I can't rightly get drunk for this...

illusionofjoy: (No Obama)

Memo to Barack Obama: this is why post-partisanship does not work.

Incidentally, Lambert at Corrente points out that Senator Obama did not once use the word "Democrat" during last night's debate. So, we can vote republican or we can vote...?

illusionofjoy: (Default)

John McCain is wrong on the issues, while Barack Obama is correct. The problem is that where they disagree is in the nuances that will ultimately be hammered out in Congress. In fact, these two were agreeing so often, I began to wonder who was in which party...well, almost.

I decided to go to the debate watching party being held by the South Hills Obama supporters. It's good to get out of the house. I'm a bit tipsy, as this was held at a bar and if one lives in Pittsburgh, one must consume alcohol when one goes to a bar (I'm also supporting the Port Authority, what with the drink tax). In any case, in watching the debate Obama kept almost scoring a touchdown, but...just...not...quite! It was very frustrating, because I am dying for him to give a me a hallelujah moment where I can say, "okay, you've redeemed yourself! I can confidentially vote for you!" Hell, I'd settle for tepid redemption and a nose-holding right now.

Anyway, I reserve the right to flip-flop all I want about my vote until November. Obama did not shine on the foreign policy issue - he may be right about Iraq (presently), but he, like so many others is still just not getting it about Afghanistan: it's another unnecessary war and we shouldn't have troops there. The so-called "war on terror" should be fought with intelligence, not military force.

Obama needs to ramp up the rhetoric and get into the nuts and bolts of domestic issues. This means the economy - now more than ever. Start studying Bill Clinton's Presidency, Barack, because that's the road map you'll need to be following.

At least it was only McCain praising Reagan and not Obama in this debate. Obama should have never praised Reagan during his campaign and should never do it again.

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Seth Warren

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